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Small Caps May Be the Key

The uptrend in the broad market has captured everyone’s attention. The trend remains in place, but the outlook is getting cloudy. Economic data has been mixed, earnings are mixed and future growth is being questioned. The move higher is predicated on growth. If this growth doesn’t materialize early in 2010 it could get ugly for [...]

IYH - Healthy or Sick?

Healthcare was one of the sectors to lead the major indices off the test of support three weeks ago. Now it is lagging and testing the short term trend. Looking at the chart below of the Dow Jones Healthcare Sector you can see the development of a rolling top on the recent move higher. The [...]

Is January an Indication for ‘09?

What did we learn, if anything, today? Not all the bad news is priced into the market. Maybe investors were still hopeful or optimistic about the future and this week’s data sent them packing.
January takes up where 2008 left off. The major indexes are down 8% and after the last two days it isn’t looking [...]

Why is Selling Hard?

No, I’m not talking about your career choice, I’m talking about your investments. After many years of teaching and helping investors to manage money I am still convinced that selling is one of the hardest aspects. The selection process is rarely a challenge for most investors. There are plenty of strategies to use to scan [...]

S&P 500 Showing Signs of Turning Down

The trend of the market remains bearish based on the longer term trendline. On July 15th the S&P 500 index hit support at 1200 and reversed off some aggressive selling. Two weeks later we are fighting resistance at 1291 and the index has been up and down since. A second attempt to take out the [...]